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<channel>
	<title>Cyrillic Partners</title>
	<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com</link>
	<description>An Economics Blog by Volha Baranava and Alexander Haislip</description>
	<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 20:11:49 +0000</pubDate>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=2.3</generator>
	<language>en</language>
			<item>
		<title>Oh No, the Free Traders are Coming!</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/07/01/oh-no-the-free-traders-are-coming/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/07/01/oh-no-the-free-traders-are-coming/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 01 Jul 2008 20:11:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Trade]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/07/01/oh-no-the-free-traders-are-coming/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The majority of Americans polled recently by CNN viewed free trade as a threat to the U.S. economy. That&#8217;s a little like saying that oxygen is a threat to breathing.
And, to trot out a Clintonism: &#8220;It&#8217;s the economy, stupid!&#8221; The poll found that those surveyed thought the economy was the biggest issue in the presidential [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The majority of Americans <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/07/01/cnn.poll/index.html?eref=rss_latest" target="_blank">polled recently by CNN</a> viewed free trade as a threat to the U.S. economy. That&#8217;s a little like saying that oxygen is a threat to breathing.</p>
<p>And, to trot out a Clintonism: &#8220;It&#8217;s the economy, stupid!&#8221; The poll found that those surveyed thought the economy was the biggest issue in the presidential election.</p>

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		<title>Kahneman is Wrong: I&#8217;m the Proof</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/25/kahneman-is-wrong-im-the-proof/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/25/kahneman-is-wrong-im-the-proof/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jun 2008 18:54:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/25/kahneman-is-wrong-im-the-proof/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Remember Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman? His new research suggests that poor people enjoy more leisure time than rich people, who typically spend their time doing high-anxiety chores.
Well he should have included more journalists in his study. It seems as though I&#8217;m stressed a lot but have little to show for it!
Kahneman says: “The richest [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahneman" target="_blank">Remember Nobel Prize winner Daniel Kahneman</a>? His new research suggests that poor people enjoy more leisure time than rich people, who typically spend their time doing high-anxiety chores.</p>
<p>Well he should have included more journalists in his study. It seems as though I&#8217;m stressed a lot but have little to show for it!</p>
<p><a href="http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2008/06/23/how-the-rich-spend-their-time-feeling-stressed/" target="_blank">Kahneman says:</a> “The richest people spent nearly twice as much time as the poorest people in leisure activitities that were structured and often stressful — shopping, child care and exercise.”</p>
<p>I&#8217;m curious to know how Kahneman accounts for increased efficiency in the consumption of leisure activities afforded to the rich. Consider your TiVo: cuts down the time it takes to see the television you want to watch. What if you have a video-on-demand service? Does driving to the video store count then? There&#8217;s no doubt in my mind that the rich get more leisure for each minute they spend relaxing&#8230;It&#8217;ll be interesting to see how he deals with it in his research.</p>

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		<title>Cost Cutting vs. Fee Hikes</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/cost-cutting-vs-fee-hikes/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/cost-cutting-vs-fee-hikes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 19:55:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Case Study]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/cost-cutting-vs-fee-hikes/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Would-be air travelers pick on price. The difference between a Delta flight and a US Airways or United flight is probably un-noticeable to someone who isn&#8217;t a frequent flier. That&#8217;s why websites such as Priceline, CheapTickets and Expedia proliferate and prosper.
But airlines are increasingly upping the fees on things that used to be amenities. We [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Would-be air travelers pick on price. The difference between a Delta flight and a US Airways or United flight is probably un-noticeable to someone who isn&#8217;t a frequent flier. That&#8217;s why websites such as Priceline, CheapTickets and Expedia proliferate and prosper.</p>
<p>But airlines are increasingly upping the fees on things that used to be amenities. <a href="http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/united-ups-baggage-fees/" target="_blank">We wrote last week on United&#8217;s move to charge people $15 to check a bag</a>. Now comes n<a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/06/12/AR2008061203914.html" target="_blank">ews that US Airways will start charging $2 for a soda or bottled water</a> on flights. Alcoholic drinks will go up to $7 a piece. There was a time when movies and headphones were free too. What&#8217;s next? You&#8217;ll have to pay $1.50 for a seatbelt? $3 for use of the overhead compartments?</p>
<p>Yes, the price of gasoline has gone up. No doubt the airlines suffer for this. Still, is it fair to hide a slew of fees under the price of a ticket? Can a reasonable person be expected to keep track of which airline charges for checked bags and calculate the appropriate step up in price attendant to the ticket?</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t like companies that play games like this. Life is hard enough without having to keep track of hidden fees and changing rules. Better to focus on costs than look for ways to gouge the unsuspecting. I can only imagine the unhappiness my parents would have flying with an airline that tried to charge for a glass of water on a flight. They&#8217;d never fly with that airline again. With good reason.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/delta-layoffs-a-good-sign/" target="_blank">It makes Delta the more attractive for focusing on its expenses.</a> Though I would not put it past the company to follow its peers down this perilous path.</p>

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		<title>Delta Layoffs a Good Sign</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/delta-layoffs-a-good-sign/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/delta-layoffs-a-good-sign/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Jun 2008 19:32:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Case Study]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/14/delta-layoffs-a-good-sign/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Corporate acquisitions seldom help the buying company. Promises of synergistic growth typically fall way, way short, studies show. However, if cost saving is the goal of a corporate acquisition, then the buyer&#8217;s stock goes up.
That&#8217;s why Delta&#8217;s move to cut 4,000 jobs is a positive sign for the impending deal with Northwestern. When cost cutting [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Corporate acquisitions seldom help the buying company. Promises of synergistic growth typically fall way, way short, studies show. However, if cost saving is the goal of a corporate acquisition, then the buyer&#8217;s stock goes up.</p>
<p>That&#8217;s why <a href="http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/provider/providerarticle.aspx?feed=ACBJ&amp;date=20080613&amp;id=8776742" target="_blank">Delta&#8217;s move to cut 4,000 jobs</a> is a positive sign for the impending deal with Northwestern. When cost cutting is on the brain, shares go up.</p>

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		<title>Chinese Alcohol Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/chinese-alcohol-stocks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/chinese-alcohol-stocks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Jun 2008 05:43:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Asia]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Investment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/chinese-alcohol-stocks/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The thinking goes like this: China&#8217;s middle class is growing and the Chinese people have more disposable income to make vice-related purchases. An abnormally high relative saving rate may be an indication of repressed demand for goods and services related to leisure consumption. The U.S.-China currency exchange is stable compared to the way the dollar [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The thinking goes like this: China&#8217;s middle class is growing and the Chinese people have more disposable income to make vice-related purchases. An abnormally high relative saving rate may be an indication of repressed demand for goods and services related to leisure consumption. The U.S.-China currency exchange is stable compared to the way the dollar is tanking against the Euro. And so called &#8220;vice&#8221; investments tend to be  robust in good times and even better during a recession. So why not invest in Chinese brewers, vintners and distillers?</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a few picks:</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SHA:600600" target="_blank">Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited</a></strong>: Sells Tsingtao, Hans, Laoshan and Shanshui beers. Sold 5.05 million kiloliters of beer in 2007 both in China and abroad. The company is 27% owned by Anheuser-Busch and has 12.8% of the domestic beer market.</p>
<p>Recent News: <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSHKG34236020080429" target="_blank">Profits fell 19% due to increases in the corporate tax</a> <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=ayIJlB.Mpa2c&amp;refer=home" target="_blank">and disappointed analysts</a>.</p>
<p>The problem: global barley prices are up 13 percent.</p>
<p>More to come.</p>

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		<item>
		<title>United Ups Baggage Fees</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/united-ups-baggage-fees/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/united-ups-baggage-fees/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 12 Jun 2008 19:11:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Case Study]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Cost Benefit]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/12/united-ups-baggage-fees/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[V and I have a nuanced understanding of the commercial air travel market after two years of distance dating. Still, it&#8217;s stunning to see United adding a $15 charge for each piece of checked baggage on each domestic flight. CNN.com does the reporting.
There is, of course, a great tendency to abuse the checked baggage allowance. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>V and I have a nuanced understanding of the commercial air travel market after two years of distance dating. Still, it&#8217;s stunning to see United adding a $15 charge for each piece of checked baggage on each domestic flight. <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/12/news/companies/united_bags/?postversion=2008061212" target="_blank">CNN.com does the reporting.</a></p>
<p>There is, of course, a great tendency to abuse the checked baggage allowance. I&#8217;ve stood in line behind people looking to ship everything short of the kitchen sink.  But there are some things that you can only get across the country by checking in (wine) and this new policy certainly hurts a class of travelers.</p>
<p>The more deleterious effect may be on the struggle to fit carry-ons into the overhead compartments. I&#8217;ve seen some folks try to stuff small elephants above their heads.</p>
<p>Other airlines have cut down check-in allowances of course. Delta has gone from two bags to one for basic travelers (though the Silver Medallion folks get three for free). It has also upped its fees for pet transportation, which we found out the hard way. American Airlines announced a similar fee in May.</p>
<p>The fee should apply to one in three customers United says. The company expects to make $225 million in the first year from the added fee.</p>

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		<title>Volunteering with BizWorld</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/04/volunteering-with-bizworld/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/04/volunteering-with-bizworld/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2008 22:36:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/04/volunteering-with-bizworld/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I was lucky enough to have a chance to teach a class of fifth graders about entrepreneurship and business ethics in Sunnyvale, Calif. this morning through BizWorld. I was stunned that when I asked them to name companies they&#8217;d heard of, the class came up with SanDisk&#8230;













]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was lucky enough to have a chance to teach a class of fifth graders about entrepreneurship and business ethics in Sunnyvale, Calif. this morning through <a href="http://www.bizworld.org">BizWorld</a>. I was stunned that when I asked them to name companies they&#8217;d heard of, the class came up with SanDisk&#8230;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/06/04/volunteering-with-bizworld/bizworld-volunteering/" rel="attachment wp-att-141" title="BizWorld Volunteering"></p>
<p style="text-align: center"><img src="http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/06/bizworld8.jpg" alt="BizWorld Volunteering" height="251" width="332" /></p>
<p></a></p>

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		<title>Save Classifieds? Fat Chance.</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/30/save-classifieds-fat-chance/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/30/save-classifieds-fat-chance/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 May 2008 21:26:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/30/save-classifieds-fat-chance/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A group of journalists/tech consultants has set up a site soliciting ideas to save the classified advertisement section that used to be a mainstay of print revenue.
This idea seems DOA to my mind though. Why would anyone with a good idea actually throw it away by sharing it? So far, the &#8220;experts&#8221; have come up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A group of journalists/tech consultants has set up <a href="http://www.reinventingclassifieds.com/index.php" target="_blank">a site soliciting ideas</a> to save the classified advertisement section that used to be a mainstay of print revenue.</p>
<p>This idea seems DOA to my mind though. Why would anyone with a good idea actually throw it away by sharing it? So far, the &#8220;experts&#8221; have come up with ideas insufficient to resurrect a decade-dead advertising medium. It all feels very &#8220;well sonny, back in my day&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a well meaning effort though, with some interesting tidbits on the design and evolution of classifieds, but it&#8217;s like trying to bandage a wounded leg just as newspapers are going into cardiac arrest.</p>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Classified_ad#Statistics" target="_blank">Wikipedia offers some interesting stats on the business of classifieds:</a></p>
<p>In 2003, the market for classified ads in the United States was $15.9 billion (newspapers), $14.1 billion (online) according to market researcher Classified Intelligence. The worldwide market for classified ads in 2003 was estimated at over $100 billion. Perhaps due to a lack of reporting solidarity Market Statistics vary concerning the total market for internet classified ads. The Kelsey Research Group lists online classified ads as being worth $13.3 billion, while Jupiter Research provides a conservative appraisal of $2.6 billion (2005) and the Interactive Advertising Bureau lists the net worth of online classified revenue at $2.1 billion (April 2006).</p>
<p>Newspapers have continued their downward trend in classifieds revenue as internet classifieds grow. Classified advertising at some of the larger newspaper chains has dropped 14% to 20% in 2007 while traffic to classified sites has grown 23%.</p>

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		<title>MIT Makes Predictions</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/mit-makes-predictions/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/mit-makes-predictions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 May 2008 19:09:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/mit-makes-predictions/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A quick peek into the technologies of tomorrow from the staff at MIT suggest that some of the problems we deal with today may be solved, or at least mitigated substantially, over the next decade.
My favorite was the prediction that autism will be licked. It&#8217;s a health issue that affects 1 in every 150 American [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A quick peek into the technologies of tomorrow from the staff at MIT suggest that some of the problems we deal with today may be solved, or at least mitigated substantially, over the next decade.</p>
<p>My favorite was the prediction that autism will be licked. It&#8217;s a health issue that affects 1 in every 150 American children and results in some $35 billion in lost productivity and health care costs each year. I hope its days are numbered.</p>
<p><a href="http://web.mit.edu/newsoffice/2008/hope-horizon-0521.html" target="_blank">See the entire list here.</a></p>

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		<title>NY Attorney General Offers Dell Beatdown</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/ny-attorney-general-offers-dell-beatdown/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/ny-attorney-general-offers-dell-beatdown/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 May 2008 18:55:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Case Study]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Tech]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/29/ny-attorney-general-offers-dell-beatdown/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I haven&#8217;t been a big fan of Dell computers since the company sold me one that has chronic overheating problems. My dad came to hate Dell after it jerked him around over a cable it never sent.
Now Dell is getting whacked by the NY Attorney General for &#8220;fraud, false advertising, and deceptive business practices.&#8221; My [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I haven&#8217;t been a big fan of Dell computers since the company sold me one that has chronic overheating problems. My dad came to hate Dell after it jerked him around over a cable it never sent.</p>
<p>Now Dell is getting whacked by the NY Attorney General for &#8220;fraud, false advertising, and deceptive business practices.&#8221; <a href="http://www.forbes.com/technology/2008/05/28/dell-deceptive-practices-tech-enter-cx_bc_0528dell.html" target="_blank">My buddy Brian Caulfield has the story for Forbes.com. He also points out that Dell shares are off 11% for the year</a>.</p>

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		<title>The News Commodity Condrum</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/27/the-news-commodity-condrum/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/27/the-news-commodity-condrum/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 May 2008 18:20:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Writing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/27/the-news-commodity-condrum/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#8217;s some interesting stats here, but the real kicker is the percentage of news Americans consume that comes from a tiny, tiny portion of the media market. Scary.

















]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There&#8217;s some interesting stats here, but the real kicker is the percentage of news Americans consume that comes from a tiny, tiny portion of the media market. Scary.</p>
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		<title>Krueger Tackles Pain Gap</title>
		<link>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/19/krueger-tackles-pain-gap/</link>
		<comments>http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/19/krueger-tackles-pain-gap/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 May 2008 23:05:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Labor]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.cyrillicpartners.com/2008/05/19/krueger-tackles-pain-gap/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[New research out of Princeton shows that the poor suffer more pain than the rich. “People in households making less than $30,000 a year spend almost 20% of their time in moderate to severe pain, compared with less than 8% for those in households with income above $100,000 a year,” says economist Alan Krueger.
Another interesting [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.princeton.edu/pr/pwb/08/0519/pain/" target="_blank">New research out of Princeton</a> shows that the poor suffer more pain than the rich. “People in households making less than $30,000 a year spend almost 20% of their time in moderate to severe pain, compared with less than 8% for those in households with income above $100,000 a year,” says economist Alan Krueger.</p>
<p>Another interesting finding was that people who experience pain watch more television than those who do not. People who hurt spend about 25% of their time watching TV while the non-afflicted spend only 16% of their time, according to the self-reported surveys used in the study.</p>

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